Guest Blog: Obama’s chances are slipping

By Talk Media News (Used through Creative Commons Licensing)

By EJ Wall

As Americans watch, follow, argue about (or laugh at), the 2012 presidential candidates on their computer and T.V. screens, they might find themselves wondering what Texas Governor Rick Perry’s chances are or could the next president of the United States be a Mormon? Or a woman? Or a Tea Party member? With the Republican candidates echoing the sentiments of Ronald Reagan while debating each other nearly every other week—Americans may have forgotten for a moment that there is yet another candidate… Barack Obama. Oh yes, the President of the United States, leader of the free world, and just another 2012 hopeful.

Obama won the 2008 presidential election; the young Democrat senator from Illinois had what can only be described as one of the most epic political campaigns of this or any generation. Not all of Obama’s campaign promises came to fruition, but in his presidency he has accomplished a few of the goals he outlined for Americans in 08’ (for better or worse, depending on your politics). Most notably, repealing “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell” and signing a universal healthcare act (which almost all of the Republican presidential candidates have sworn to repeal if elected to office). For a list of the top 25 promises made by Obama, take a look at Politifact.

Do Americans care about this? According to the U.S. Department of Labor, the national unemployment rate is currently 9.1 percent and current polls from Gallup show Obama earned the lowest monthly job approval rating of his presidency to date in August, with 41 percent of U.S. adults approving of his overall job performance, down from 44 percent in July.

Regardless of what Obama has accomplished there are still some glaring numbers that face the American people. The Youth Unemployment Rate has skyrocketed: from April to July 2011, the number of employed youth 16 to 24 years old rose by 1.7 million to 18.6 million.

In addition to unemployment, the poverty rate is the highest that the US Census bureau has ever reported. A record 46 million Americans were living in poverty in 2010, making the poverty rate 15.1 per cent, and the highest since 1993.

Obama has recently gotten himself and his 2012 candidacy back into the news by announcing a $447 billion jobs stimulus plan to Congress on Thursday. Details on the plan and a 2-minute video recap are available on CNNMoney.

With this speech, Obama just got some of the spotlight back and gave the Republican candidates something else to debate about. As for Obama’s chances at a second term, it depends on his ability to convince the country that he can fix the economy and solve unemployment (no big deal, right?). It also depends on the GOP candidates’ abilities to unite Tea Party supporters, the far right, the right, and gather some of the independent votes. As with all presidential elections, the moderates and swing voters have the most power, and a Republican Party divided into factions could benefit Obama immensely in the election.

Posted by on September 25, 2011. Filed under Uncategorized. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0. You can leave a response or trackback to this entry

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